VAR Models With An Index Structure: A Survey With New Results
Cubadda Gianluca
CEIS Research Paper
The main aim of this paper is to review recent advances in the multivariate autoregressive index model [MAI], originally proposed by Reinsel (1983), and their applications to economic and ?nancial time series. MAI has recently gained momentum because it can be seen as a link between two popular but distinct multivariate time series approaches: vector autoregressive modeling [VAR] and the dynamic factor model [DFM]. Indeed, on the one hand, the MAI is a VAR model with a peculiar reduced-rank structure; on the other hand, it allows for identi?cation of common components and common shocks in a similar way as the DFM. The focus is on recent developments of the MAI, which include extending the original model with individual autoregressive structures, stochastic volatility, time-varying parameters, high-dimensionality, and cointegration. In addition, new insights on previous contributions and a novel model are also provided.
 
 
Number: 611
Keywords: Multivariate autoregressive index models, vector autoregressive models, dynamic factor models, reduced-rank regression
Volume: 23
Issue: 7
Date: Monday, September 22, 2025
Revision Date: Monday, September 22, 2025