About Local Projection Impulse Responde Function Reliability
				Brugnolini Luca			
		
				CEIS Research Paper
		
				I compare the performance of the vector autoregressive (VAR) model impulse response function estimator with the Jordà (2005) local projection (LP) methodology. In a Monte Carlo experiment, I demonstrate that when the data generating process is a well-specified VAR, the standard impulse response function estimator is the best option. However, when the sample size is small, and the model lag-length is misspecified, I prove that the local projection estimator is a competitive alternative. Finally, I show how to improve the local projection performance by fixing the lag-length at each horizon.
 
 
		
		
	 
Number: 440
		
				Keywords: VAR,information criteria,lag-length,Monte Carlo
		
				JEL codes: C32,C52,C53,E52
		
				Volume: 16
		
				Issue: 6
		
				Date: Thursday, August 9, 2018
		
				Revision Date: Thursday, August 9, 2018